Do economics and statistics succeed in explaining human social
behaviour? To answer this question. Leland Gerson Neuberg studies
some pioneering controlled social experiments. Starting in the late
1960s, economists and statisticians sought to improve social policy
formation with random assignment experiments such as those that
provided income guarantees in the form of a negative income tax.
This book explores anomalies in the conceptual basis of such
experiments and in the foundations of statistics and economics more
generally. Scientific inquiry always faces certain philosophical
problems. Controlled experiments of human social behaviour,
however, cannot avoid some methodological difficulties not evident
in physical science experiments. Drawing upon several examples, the
author argues that methodological anomalies prevent microeconomics
and statistics from explaining human social behaviour as coherently
as the physical sciences explain nature. He concludes that
controlled social experiments are a frequently overrated tool for
social policy improvement.
目錄:
Preface
Introduction
Part I. Statistical Logics
1. J. S. Mill and some philosophical underpinnings of controlled
experimentation;
2. R. A. Fisher, randomization, and controlled
experimentation
3. Some special difficulties of controlled social experiments
4. Hume''s problem of induction in modern statistical inference and
controlled experimentation
Part II. Economic Logics
5. Problems with a rationalist account of classical mechanics
6. Microeconomics striving to be a classical-mechanics-like
science
7. The income maintenance experiments: microeconomic science or
scientism?
8. Microeconomics striving to be deontology
Conclusion
Appendix
References
Symbols and abbreviations
Index